Negotiations continued overnight between UK and EU at European commission’s headquarters in Brussels
- Boris Johnson to claim victory in Brexit talks, leaked paper reveals
- Brexit trade deal with EU within ‘touching distance’, says No 10
- Scottish seed potato farmers ‘sold out’ in Brexit deal, says SNP
David Henig, head of the UK Trade Policy Project at the European Centre for International Political Economy, has published an article on the trade deal that is worth reading. For obvious reasons, it does not go into the detail of the agreement, but it provides a useful overview. Here’s an excerpt.
For the UK this looks like finally the end of five years of turbulent politics dominated by the EU relationship. Three consecutive autumns dominated by the question of deal or not. The question has for the time being been settled, with a preferential relationship greater than WTO but less than customs union or single market. There will be continuous negotiations on areas of detail in the future, but most will barely trouble the media or political worlds. Overall there will be some form of stability, even if uneasily in a UK split between those wanting closer and more distant EU relations, and with particular challenges in Scotland and Northern Ireland.
There will of course be major challenges in the future relationship. Ultimately the EU achieved their main goals from Brexit, and the UK arguably did not. The EU successfully avoided a border on the island of Ireland and protected the single market from significant cherry picking. The UK succeeded in the headline goal of leaving the EU, but failed as proponents had expected to retain the benefits of membership without incurring the costs, and more recently in overturning any of the withdrawal agreement as the staunch Brexiteers had hoped. The EU also looks stronger for demonstrating so far that leaving is not an easy option, while the UK’s ability to maintain trade relations while escaping ‘the Brussels Effect’ of following EU regulations is going to be tested, business for example will wish to reverse the decision to leave some European regulatory agencies.
Tempting fate and all that, but something to read while waiting for the official UK-EU deal announcement, my long thoughts on what it all means.
In short. It matters. Probably more politically than economically. Not atypical for a trade agreement.https://t.co/eUZN1LD9gR
The pro-European Labour peer Andrew Adonis thinks Boris Johnson is deliberately dragging out the talks.
Johnson is spinning negotiations out until the last minute in order to dodge scrutiny https://t.co/2xejgKjRor